Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.248418 0.287632 0.332445 0.387755 0.454604 0.533319 0.633800
2025-08-31 0.183428 0.231870 0.293565 0.379177 0.496946 0.656352 0.893903
2025-09-07 0.152408 0.205256 0.278135 0.388703 0.557192 0.813019 1.248978
2025-09-14 0.127488 0.179885 0.256561 0.381120 0.586902 0.930094 1.585737
2025-09-21 0.112089 0.164528 0.245270 0.384528 0.631903 1.081854 2.041132
2025-09-28 0.099445 0.150860 0.233490 0.383524 0.667561 1.226212 2.545732
2025-10-05 0.091541 0.143255 0.229825 0.395036 0.728112 1.437230 3.302251
2025-10-12 0.084497 0.135910 0.225157 0.403317 0.783938 1.657264 4.208975
2025-10-19 0.078355 0.129186 0.220379 0.410131 0.838174 1.893488 5.316867
2025-10-26 0.073773 0.124565 0.218647 0.422561 0.908281 2.197286 6.869606
2025-11-02 0.068809 0.118592 0.213398 0.426374 0.958944 2.470547 8.556302
2025-11-09 0.064091 0.112510 0.207048 0.426468 1.000370 2.735997 10.478213
2025-11-16 0.059481 0.106226 0.199663 0.423359 1.034328 3.000973 12.737534
2025-11-23 0.055021 0.099786 0.191173 0.416214 1.055861 3.238978 15.198118
2025-11-30 0.052536 0.097026 0.190160 0.427391 1.135213 3.733322 19.950167
2025-12-07 0.048832 0.091383 0.182098 0.418990 1.151834 3.994882 23.668148
2025-12-14 0.046365 0.088073 0.178864 0.422833 1.210051 4.471448 30.096129
2025-12-21 0.043804 0.084310 0.174124 0.421711 1.251604 4.904525 37.324726
2025-12-28 0.042321 0.082733 0.174320 0.434630 1.348447 5.684614 50.755354
2026-01-04 0.040732 0.080763 0.173319 0.443929 1.435977 6.495339 68.171600
2026-01-11 0.039169 0.078702 0.171845 0.451584 1.520794 7.374958 91.556877
2026-01-18 0.038022 0.077481 0.172334 0.465556 1.638461 8.590179 130.074509
2026-01-25 0.036497 0.075242 0.169942 0.469844 1.716615 9.632005 175.084347